Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 103.230671 114.507082 126.116062 138.933695 152.661989 166.898210 182.750329
2025-03-16 83.888860 100.437910 118.378273 139.153183 162.427713 187.581961 216.703998
2025-03-23 72.081721 92.578358 115.856155 143.950645 176.636803 213.171813 256.794444
2025-03-30 61.909796 85.020124 112.433316 146.781871 188.093255 235.619366 293.848953
2025-04-06 52.652783 77.217459 107.602311 147.030086 195.904054 253.589421 325.873713
2025-04-13 45.355464 70.850414 103.657233 147.615730 203.598456 271.174992 357.510510
2025-04-20 40.864790 67.542392 103.084373 152.034737 215.803531 294.216130 395.984196
2025-04-27 36.677649 64.086087 101.851400 155.234520 226.256983 315.079320 432.007117
2025-05-04 33.543729 61.721423 101.762544 159.698306 238.220670 337.877590 470.680129
2025-05-11 30.391253 58.929871 100.751550 162.659736 248.077184 358.010892 506.200947
2025-05-18 25.191506 52.304964 93.637622 156.595738 245.391589 361.629397 520.494500
2025-05-25 21.554115 47.727421 89.107029 153.779840 246.783089 370.342728 541.235471
2025-06-01 18.970231 44.677589 86.737249 154.047271 252.558373 385.175880 570.536382
2025-06-08 16.964620 42.400086 85.386874 155.706508 260.286017 402.761671 603.784720
2025-06-15 15.994343 41.923856 86.880939 161.683761 274.302864 429.122968 649.114847
2025-06-22 14.667374 40.579512 86.809720 165.181097 284.755033 450.742863 688.397476
2025-06-29 12.988173 38.282646 84.922295 165.675184 290.727833 466.197882 719.527447
2025-07-06 11.540706 36.244293 83.294099 166.432669 297.013088 482.105322 751.414325
2025-07-13 10.815950 35.680591 84.221168 171.312790 309.542531 506.941704 795.794934
2025-07-20 9.977289 34.729722 84.351474 174.833360 320.030067 528.992009 836.571033
2025-07-27 9.380111 34.257157 85.308745 179.712728 332.640365 554.190131 881.933857
2025-08-03 8.643520 33.327001 85.316712 182.945976 342.729376 575.871701 922.624800
2025-08-10 6.977947 29.683937 79.763660 176.349762 337.226811 574.828596 931.433079